Joe Pyfer is a -400 favourite at FanDuel as he squares off with UFC veteran Kelvin Gastelum (+300 underdog) in a middleweight scrap at UFC 316 in Newark, New Jersey, on June 7.
The Gastelum vs Pyfer odds are steep, however they replicate the momentum Pyfer carries into this matchup. Nonetheless, don’t rush to again a end. I see higher worth in a methodical end result.
See our different UFC 316 content material right here with O’Malley vs Merab odds & picks, plus a Harrison vs Pena preview.
Gastelum vs Pyfer Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kelvin Gastelum | +300 |
| Joe Pyfer | -400 |
Odds as of June 2 at FanDuel
How To Wager pyfer
Pyfer is the rightful favourite right here. He is youthful, extra explosive, and a legit ending risk, particularly early. However whereas Pyfer has 4 stoppages in 5 UFC fights, this matchup is much less forgiving. Gastelum could also be inconsistent, however he’s ridiculously robust. He hasn’t been knocked out as soon as in 12 years of UFC motion.
I like Pyfer to regulate the tempo and push Gastelum backward, however this seemingly turns right into a measured, grind-it-out win. Pyfer by resolution is probably going playable at plus cash and gives a greater payout than that chalky moneyline.
How To Wager Gastelum
Gastelum is 3-6 since 2019, however he’s nonetheless a stay canine in most fights because of his chin and cardio. He can eat huge pictures and maintain coming ahead, and he is the extra skilled fighter by a mile. If Pyfer fades or will get too wild, Gastelum might discover a rhythm and make this attention-grabbing down the stretch.
That mentioned, it’s arduous to belief Gastelum coming off a win over Daniel Rodriguez, and Pyfer’s physicality will likely be arduous to match. For those who’re betting Kelvin, go the gap. Gastelum by resolution is his clearest (and perhaps solely) path.
Gastelum vs Pyfer Betting Choose
I’m backing Pyfer by resolution. Gastelum’s chin will maintain up, however I don’t see him doing sufficient to sway the judges. A moneyline play on Pyfer is parlay-worthy, however should you’re in search of actual worth, the tactic prop is your angle.
Choose: Pyfer by resolution
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